Countries stand to collect $500 billion in additional corporate tax each year if global minimum-tax rules are fully enforced, according to a new analysis from the Tax Justice Network published August 2. The figure is roughly 1.3% of global GDP - a prize large enough to fund major public investments in healthcare, education, or climate adaptation, the Guardian reported.
Where the $500B Comes From
The $500 billion estimate comes from Tax Justice Network's annual State of Tax Justice report. It reflects the difference between the corporate tax that multinationals currently pay and the amount they would pay if OECD Pillar Two rules were enforced consistently. The biggest gap is at the largest multinationals, where profit-shifting to low-tax jurisdictions is most aggressive.
"Governments are told that public services must shrink because money is tight. Yet a new Tax Justice Network report shows that a $500bn prize is within reach," the Guardian wrote in an editorial.
Why Now
The OECD's Pillar Two framework - a 15% global minimum effective tax rate for multinationals with revenue above €750M - has been in force since 2024. But enforcement has been uneven, and several major jurisdictions have resisted implementation. The US, in particular, has signaled discomfort with parts of the framework, and the Trump administration has floated several alternative approaches. The Tax Justice Network report is timed to push countries to recommit.
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